Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.002449 0.002595 0.002752 0.002933 0.003137 0.003362 0.003632
2025-04-06 0.002179 0.002371 0.002586 0.002849 0.003168 0.003547 0.004045
2025-04-13 0.002014 0.002232 0.002487 0.002814 0.003230 0.003760 0.004517
2025-04-20 0.001831 0.002052 0.002315 0.002661 0.003118 0.003725 0.004645
2025-04-27 0.001751 0.001985 0.002271 0.002658 0.003191 0.003937 0.005158
2025-05-04 0.001712 0.001965 0.002281 0.002723 0.003358 0.004303 0.006002
2025-05-11 0.001654 0.001914 0.002246 0.002721 0.003426 0.004529 0.006677
2025-05-18 0.001632 0.001908 0.002267 0.002797 0.003617 0.004983 0.007972
2025-05-25 0.001579 0.001858 0.002226 0.002778 0.003657 0.005185 0.008828
2025-06-01 0.001522 0.001799 0.002168 0.002728 0.003638 0.005276 0.009461
2025-06-08 0.001504 0.001791 0.002179 0.002784 0.003801 0.005747 0.011464
2025-06-15 0.001481 0.001775 0.002178 0.002819 0.003932 0.006189 0.013875
2025-06-22 0.001437 0.001729 0.002135 0.002789 0.003951 0.006411 0.015900
2025-06-29 0.001383 0.001668 0.002067 0.002714 0.003880 0.006411 0.016989
2025-07-06 0.001344 0.001628 0.002026 0.002681 0.003886 0.006605 0.019602
2025-07-13 0.001279 0.001548 0.001924 0.002542 0.003671 0.006197 0.017866
2025-07-20 0.001255 0.001524 0.001906 0.002539 0.003726 0.006506 0.021819
2025-07-27 0.001248 0.001525 0.001923 0.002599 0.003911 0.007239 0.033875
2025-08-03 0.001226 0.001504 0.001906 0.002597 0.003970 0.007628 0.047978
2025-08-10 0.001222 0.001508 0.001929 0.002666 0.004192 0.008664 0.154185
2025-08-17 0.001199 0.001483 0.001904 0.002649 0.004219 0.009031 0.767851
2025-08-24 0.001170 0.001450 0.001865 0.002603 0.004173 0.009102 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001164 0.001450 0.001878 0.002654 0.004364 0.010272 NaN